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Premium Content Archives - Credit Market Analysis

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Premium Content

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16th January 2020

🗞️ 2020’s credit outlook brightening

Financials and high beta credit hold the aces… Given the solid start to the banking sector’s Q4 reporting season, it does appear that we are potentially set up for the financial sector to lead the rally in stocks and credit in 2020. That’s certainly how investors in credit are looking at it, with financials and […]
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15th January 2020

🗞️ Shades of 2019

It’s almost laughable… We’re into the second week of the new year and the barriers to a risk asset rally are being dismantled. US equities are in the ascendancy and, at this rate, the S&P500 index will be up at 3500 by quarter’s end. There are only around 200 points to go! Even rate markets […]
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12th January 2020

Kitchen sinking it

Easing in tensions boosts markets… Borrowers are throwing the kitchen sink at it. There’s like a big black hole absorbing anything and everything that comes its way. There doesn’t appear to any repricing risk in the near term as the early year exuberance from borrowers and investors alike satisfy both sides of the equation. This […]
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9th January 2020

🗞️ Dropping like flies

First North Korea, now Iran… The scuffle between the US and Iran in the opening week of the year served to reset the date for when we kicked-off for 2020 to Jan 7th. And, as we expected, equities are on the up and credit primary has come out the blocks albeit probably anticipating another event […]
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8th January 2020

🗞️ The show must go on

Drawing a line in the sand… At this rate, we’re going to be in need for some window locks – Just to keep borrowers out! Wednesday was another session flush with corporate bond deals keeping credit markets extremely busy. And that, after what seems like a ‘face-saving’ limited response by the Iranian regime against the […]
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7th January 2020

Dusted Down and Deals Flowing

Champing at the bit… We’re up and running. But not before markets had been rattled by the killing of senior Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani. While tensions will remain elevated amid fears of any retaliation which might emerge against US interests, it seems to have had a short-lived impact on markets. We would think that the […]
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5th January 2020

Time for cool heads

We were raring to go… We wanted to be able say that we’re just a couple of days old and believe that the markets will be champing at the bit to get going. Alas, we row back a bit. The US drone strike in Iran has markets in retreat and on the defensive with pundits […]
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9th December 2019

Credit tone positive into year-end

Holidays are coming… Finally, the markets are in wind-down mode, although in credit we think that there’s likely going to be the odd, previously unannounced offering in primary – but that’s about it. We can look forward to a ‘busy’ week nevertheless. There’s Lagarde’s inaugural ECB policy meeting which is probably going to gain more […]
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3rd December 2019

Markets Trumped yet again

2020: Downside risks lurk… We have yet another iteration in the process. Does anyone really care any more? We previously suggested that the Chinese could afford – politically and financially – to play the long game regarding the trade tariff talks. With an election looming, the lack of a decent, encompassing deal between the US […]
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2nd December 2019

Trump still pulling all the strings

Manufacturing fog not lifting… Well, that was a bit of a rollercoaster ride. We had an early shot in the arm from those Chinese factory orders for November with the Caixin PMI index up at a 3-year high of 51.8. German manufacturing also showed some signs of life, the PMI for November rose to a […]
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